Dr William Marsh

PhD

Senior Lecturer
UG Exam Board Chair

School of Electronic Engineering and Computer Science
Queen Mary University of London

d.w.r.marsh@qmul.ac.uk

www.eecs.qmul.ac.uk/~william/

Centre for Multimodal AI

Research
Publications
Grants

Research

Decision support, Probabilistic reasoning, Risk assessment, Knowledge modelling, AI, ML

Interests

My research aims are to develop better ways to build useful risk and decision-making techniques, using a combination of data and knowledge (or expertise). I mainly work with Bayesian networks and I prefer to work with 'end users' who are making decisions.

Publications

Publications of specific relevance to the Centre for Multimodal AI

2025

Counterfactual reasoning using causal Bayesian networks as a healthcare governance tool
Kyrimi E, Mossadegh S, Wohlgemut JM, Stoner RS, Tai NRM and Marsh W
International Journal of Medical Informatics vol. 193, 105681-105681.

DOI 10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2024.105681

QMRO

01-01-2025

2024

Presenting predictions and performance of probabilistic models for clinical decision support in trauma care
Alptekin C, Wohlgemut JM, Perkins ZB, Marsh W, Tai NRM and Yet B
International Journal of Medical Informatics, Elsevier vol. 194

DOI 10.1016/j.ijmedinf.2024.105702

14-11-2024

A scoping review, novel taxonomy and catalogue of implementation frameworks for clinical decision support systems
Wohlgemut JM, Pisirir E, Stoner RS, Perkins ZB, Marsh W, Tai NRM and Kyrimi E
Bmc Medical Informatics and Decision Making, Springer Nature vol. 24 (1)

DOI 10.1186/s12911-024-02739-1

01-11-2024

A Multi‐Criteria Decision Support Tool for Shared Decision Making in Clinical Consultation
Şakar CT, Keith‐Jopp C, Yet B, Joyner C, Hill A, Roberts J, Marsh W and Morrissey D
Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, Wiley vol. 31 (5-6)

DOI 10.1002/mcda.70001

01-09-2024

What characteristics of clinical decision support system implementations lead to adoption for regular use? A scoping review
Hill A, Morrissey D and Marsh W
Bmj Health & Care Informatics, Bmj vol. 31 (1)

DOI 10.1136/bmjhci-2024-101046

QMRO

01-08-2024

Evaluation of a Musculoskeletal Digital Assessment Routing Tool (DART): Crossover Noninferiority Randomized Pilot Trial
Lowe C, Sephton R, Marsh W and Morrissey D
Jmir Formative Research, Jmir Publications vol. 8

DOI 10.2196/56715

QMRO

30-07-2024

Bayesian networks may allow better performance and usability than logistic regression
Wohlgemut JM, Pisirir E, Stoner RS, Kyrimi E, Yet B, Marsh W, Perkins ZB and Tai NRM
Critical Care, Springer Nature vol. 28 (1)

DOI 10.1186/s13054-024-05015-w

QMRO

11-07-2024

CSP2023: 28 Digital Health Technology - Narrowing or Widening the Digital Divide? Learning From Validation of a Musculoskeletal Digital Assessment Tool (DART)
Lowe C, Browne M, Marsh W and Morrissey D
Physiotherapy, Elsevier vol. 123, e86-e87.

DOI 10.1016/j.physio.2024.04.105

QMRO

01-06-2024

Identification of major hemorrhage in trauma patients in the prehospital setting: diagnostic accuracy and impact on outcome
Wohlgemut JM, Pisirir E, Stoner RS, Kyrimi E, Christian M, Hurst T, Marsh W, Perkins ZB and Tai NRM
Trauma Surgery & Acute Care Open, Bmj vol. 9 (1)

DOI 10.1136/tsaco-2023-001214

QMRO

01-01-2024

2023

Updating and recalibrating causal probabilistic models on a new target population
Kyrimi E, Stoner RS, Perkins ZB, Pisirir E, Wohlgemut JM, Marsh W and Tai NRM
Journal of Biomedical Informatics, Elsevier vol. 149

DOI 10.1016/j.jbi.2023.104572

QMRO

09-12-2023

Attitudes to technology supported rheumatoid arthritis care: investigating patient and clinician perceived opportunities and barriers
MacBrayne A, Curzon P, Soyel H, Marsh W, Fenton N, Pitzalis C and Humby F
Rheumatology Advances in Practice, Oxford University Press (Oup)

DOI 10.1093/rap/rkad089

QMRO

26-10-2023

Assessing Serious Spinal Pathology Using Bayesian Network Decision Support: Development and Validation Study
Hill A, Joyner CH, Keith-Jopp C, Yet B, Sakar CT, Marsh W and Morrissey D
Jmir Formative Research, Jmir Publications vol. 7

DOI 10.2196/44187

QMRO

03-10-2023

Enhancing the clinical relevance of haemorrhage prediction models in trauma
Tandle S, Wohlgemut JM, Marsden MER, Pisirir E, Kyrimi E, Stoner RS, Marsh W, Perkins ZB and Tai NRM
Military Medical Research, Springer Nature vol. 10 (1)

DOI 10.1186/s40779-023-00476-6

QMRO

20-09-2023

FTP1.7 Critical decision analysis of pre-hospital major haemorrhage protocol activation
Wohlgemut J, McMullen H, Marsden M, Marsh W, Perkins Z and Tai N
British Journal of Surgery, Oxford University Press (Oup) vol. 110 (Supplement_6)

DOI 10.1093/bjs/znad241.335

21-08-2023

Methods used to evaluate usability of mobile clinical decision support systems for healthcare emergencies: a systematic review and qualitative synthesis
Wohlgemut JM, Pisirir E, Kyrimi E, Stoner RS, Marsh W, Perkins ZB and Tai NRM
Jamia Open, Oxford University Press (Oup) vol. 6 (3)

DOI 10.1093/jamiaopen/ooad051

QMRO

04-07-2023

A Process for Evaluating Explanations for Transparent and Trustworthy AI Prediction Models
Pisirir E, Wohlgemut JM, Kyrimi E, Stoner RS, Perkins ZB, Tai NRM and Marsh DWR
2023 IEEE 11th International Conference on Healthcare Informatics (ICHI). vol. 00, 388-397.

DOI 10.1109/ichi57859.2023.00058

QMRO

29-06-2023

Attitudes to Technology supported Rheumatoid Arthritis care Questionnaire study: Barriers to People with RA & their clinicians using Technology in the care pathway
Curzon P, Macbrayne A, Humby F, Marsh D, Soyel H, Fenton N and Pitzalis C
British Society for Rheumatology Annual COnference 2023 Manchester Central 24 Mar 2023 - 26 Apr 2023.

DOI 10.1093/rheumatology/kead104.154

QMRO

24-04-2023

Attitudes to Technology supported Rheumatoid Arthritis care, questionnaire study: Opportunities for technology to improve RA care
Curzon P, Macbrayne A, Soyel H, Marsh D, Fenton N, Pitzalis C and Humby F
British Society for Rheumatology Annual Conference, 2023 Manchester Central 24 Apr 2023 - 26 Apr 2023.

DOI 10.1093/rheumatology/kead104.322

QMRO

24-04-2023

Attitudes to Technology supported Rheumatoid Arthritis care: Opportunities & Barriers for technology in RA -Key themes from Qualitative arm of Mixed-Methods Study
Curzon P, Macbrayne A, Soyel H, Marsh D, Fenton N, Pitzalis C and Humby F
British SOciety for Rheumatology Annual COnference, 2023 Manchester Central 24 Apr 2023 - 26 Apr 2023.

DOI 10.1093/rheumatology/kead104.174

QMRO

24-04-2023

Diagnostic accuracy of clinical examination to identify life- and limb-threatening injuries in trauma patients
Wohlgemut JM, Marsden MER, Stoner RS, Pisirir E, Kyrimi E, Grier G, Christian M, Hurst T, Marsh W, Tai NRM and Perkins ZB
Scandinavian Journal of Trauma, Resuscitation and Emergency Medicine, Springer Nature vol. 31 (1)

DOI 10.1186/s13049-023-01083-z

QMRO

07-04-2023

2022

Reducing the question burden of patient reported outcome measures using Bayesian networks
Yücetürk H, Gülle H, Şakar CT, Joyner C, Marsh W, Ünal E, Morrissey D and Yet B
Journal of Biomedical Informatics, Elsevier vol. 135

DOI 10.1016/j.jbi.2022.104230

17-10-2022

3* Evaluation of an Artificial Intelligence (AI) system to augment clinical risk prediction of Trauma Induced Coagulopathy in the pre-hospital setting: a prospective observational study
Marsden M, Perkins Z, Marsh W, Christian M, Lyon R, Davenport R and Tai N
Bmj Military Health, Bmj vol. 168 (5), e1.3-e1e1.

DOI 10.1136/bmjmilitary-2022-rsmabstracts.3

26-09-2022

Usability Testing of a Digital Assessment Routing Tool for Musculoskeletal Disorders: Iterative, Convergent Mixed Methods Study
Lowe C, Browne M, Marsh W and Morrissey D
Journal of Medical Internet Research, Jmir Publications vol. 24 (8)

DOI 10.2196/38352

30-08-2022

Authors' Response to Peer Reviews of “Using Structural Equation Modelling in Routine Clinical Data on Diabetes and Depression: Observational Cohort Study”
Ronaldson A, Freestone M, Zhang H, Marsh W and Bhui K
Jmirx Med, Jmir Publications vol. 3 (2)

DOI 10.2196/38010

QMRO

27-04-2022

The outcome of a prediction algorithm should be a true patient state rather than an available surrogate
Wohlgemut JM, Kyrimi E, Stoner RS, Pisirir E, Marsh W, Perkins ZB and Tai NRM
Journal of Vascular Surgery, Elsevier vol. 75 (4), 1495-1496.

DOI 10.1016/j.jvs.2021.10.059

QMRO

01-04-2022

92 Evaluation of an Artificial Intelligence (AI) System to Augment Clinical Risk Prediction of Trauma Induced Coagulopathy: A Prospective Observational Study
Marsden M, Perkins Z, Marsh W, Christian M, Lyon R, Davenport R and Tai N
British Journal of Surgery, Oxford University Press (Oup) vol. 109 (Supplement_1)

DOI 10.1093/bjs/znac041.005

28-02-2022

Can Bayesian statistical approaches reduce the questionnaire burden for respondents when PROMs and PREMs are administered electronically?
Gulle H, Yuceturk H, Sakar C, Joyner C, Marsh W, Unal E, Morrissey D and Yet B
Physiotherapy, Elsevier vol. 114, e80-e81.

DOI 10.1016/j.physio.2021.12.019

01-02-2022

48 Usability testing of a musculoskeletal digital assessment routing tool: an iterative convergent mixed methods study
Lowe C, Browne M, Marsh W and Morrissey D
Abstracts., a4.3-a4a5.

DOI 10.1136/bmjsem-2022-sportskongres.11

20-01-2022

29 Managing serious pathology in low back pain: development and validation of a bayesian network decision support tool
Hill A, Joyner C, Yet B, Keith-Jopp C, Sakar CT, Marsh W and Morrissey D
Abstracts., a2.2-a2a2.

DOI 10.1136/bmjsem-2022-sportskongres.5

20-01-2022

Review: Remote disease monitoring in rheumatoid arthritis
MacBrayne A, Marsh W and Humby F
Indian Journal of Rheumatology, Sage Publications vol. 17 (7)

DOI 10.4103/injr.injr_142_21

01-01-2022

2021

Validation of a Musculoskeletal Digital Assessment Routing Tool: Protocol for a Pilot Randomized Crossover Noninferiority Trial
Lowe C, Sing HH, Marsh W and Morrissey D
Jmir Research Protocols, Jmir Publications vol. 10 (12)

DOI 10.2196/31541

13-12-2021

Developing BENDi: A BayEsian Network DecIsion support tool for managing low back pain
Hill A, Keith-Jopp C, Joyner C, Marsh W and Morrissey D
Physiotherapy vol. 113, e83-e83.

DOI 10.1016/j.physio.2021.10.052

QMRO

01-12-2021

mHealth apps for gestational diabetes mellitus that provide clinical decision support or artificial intelligence: A scoping review
Daley BJ, Ni’Man M, Neves MR, Huda MSB, Marsh W, Fenton NE, Hitman GA and McLachlan S
Diabetic Medicine, Wiley vol. 39 (1)

DOI 10.1111/dme.14735

16-11-2021

Causal Dynamic Bayesian Networks for the Management of Glucose Control in Gestational Diabetes
Neves MR, Daley BJ, Hitman GA, Huda MSB, McLachlan S, Finer S and Marsh W
2021 IEEE 9th International Conference on Healthcare Informatics (ICHI). vol. 00, 31-40.

DOI 10.1109/ichi52183.2021.00018

12-08-2021

Usability Testing of a Digital Assessment Routing Tool: Protocol for an Iterative Convergent Mixed Methods Study
Lowe C, Sing HH, Browne M, Alwashmi MF, Marsh W and Morrissey D
Jmir Research Protocols, Jmir Publications vol. 10 (5)

DOI 10.2196/27205

QMRO

18-05-2021

Bayesian networks in healthcare: What is preventing their adoption?
Kyrimi E, Dube K, Fenton N, Fahmi A, Neves MR, Marsh W and McLachlan S
Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, Elsevier vol. 116

DOI 10.1016/j.artmed.2021.102079

22-04-2021

A Bayesian Network Decision Support Tool for Low Back Pain Using a RAND Appropriateness Procedure: Proposal and Internal Pilot Study
Hill A, Joyner CH, Keith-Jopp C, Yet B, Sakar CT, Marsh W and Morrissey D
Jmir Research Protocols, Jmir Publications vol. 10 (1)

DOI 10.2196/21804

QMRO

15-01-2021

2020

Causal Bayesian Networks for Medical Diagnosis: A Case Study in Rheumatoid Arthritis
Fahmi A, MacBrayne A, Kyrimi E, McLachlan S, Humby F, Marsh W and Pitzalis C
2020 IEEE International Conference on Healthcare Informatics (ICHI). vol. 00, 1-7.

DOI 10.1109/ichi48887.2020.9374327

03-12-2020

From Personalised Predictions to Targeted Advice: Improving Self-Management in Rheumatoid Arthritis
Fahmi A, Soyel H, Marsh DWR, Curzon P, Macbrayne A and Humby F
Integrated Citizen Centered Digital Health and Social Care 26 Nov 2020 - 27 Nov 2020.

DOI 10.3233/SHTI200695

QMRO

25-11-2020

From personalised predictions to targeted advice: Improving self-management in rheumatoid arthritis
Fahmi A, Soyel H, Marsh W, Curzon P, MacBrayne A and Humby F
Studies in Health Technology and Informatics vol. 275, 62-66.

DOI 10.3233/SHTI200695

QMRO

23-11-2020

Managing Infrastructure Asset: Bayesian Networks for Inspection and Maintenance Decisions Reasoning and Planning
Zhang H and Marsh DWR
Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier vol. 207, 107328-107328.

DOI 10.1016/j.ress.2020.107328

QMRO

21-11-2020

Using structural equation modelling in routine clinical data: Depression, diabetes, and use of Accident & Emergency (Preprint)
Ronaldson A, Freestone MC, Zhang H, Marsh W and Bhui K
Jmir Medical Informatics

DOI 10.2196/22912

QMRO

07-11-2020

Multi-state deterioration prediction for infrastructure asset: Learning from uncertain data, knowledge and similar groups
Zhang H and Marsh DWR
Information Sciences, Elsevier vol. 529, 197-213.

DOI 10.1016/j.ins.2019.11.017

01-08-2020

Predicting the Outcome of Limb Revascularization in Patients With Lower-extremity Arterial Trauma: Development and External Validation of a Supervised Machine-learning Algorithm to Support Surgical Decisions.
Perkins ZB, Yet B, Sharrock A, Rickard R, Marsh W, Rasmussen TE and Tai NRM
Annals of Surgery, Wolters Kluwer vol. 272 (4), 564-572.

DOI 10.1097/sla.0000000000004132

09-07-2020

Medical idioms for clinical Bayesian network development
Kyrimi E, Raniere Neves M, Mclachlan S, Neil M, Marsh W and Fenton N
Journal of Biomedical Informatics, Elsevier

DOI 10.1016/j.jbi.2020.103495

QMRO

30-06-2020

Predicting length of stay in hospital using electronic records available at the time of admission
Wilk M, Marsh DW, de Freitas S and Prowle J
Studies in Health Technology and Informatics vol. 270, 377-381.

DOI 10.3233/SHTI200186

QMRO

16-06-2020

Difficulties with design: The challenges of teaching design in K-5 programming
Waite J, Curzon P, Marsh W and Sentance S
Computers & Education, Elsevier Bv, 103838-103838.

DOI 10.1016/j.compedu.2020.103838

QMRO

12-02-2020

An incremental explanation of inference in Bayesian networks for increasing model trustworthiness and supporting clinical decision making
Kyrimi E, Mossadegh S, Tai N and Marsh W
Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, Elsevier vol. 103

DOI 10.1016/j.artmed.2020.101812

QMRO

31-01-2020

Early Identification of Trauma-induced Coagulopathy
Perkins ZB, Yet B, Marsden M, Glasgow S, Marsh W, Davenport R, Brohi K and Tai NRM
Annals of Surgery, Wolters Kluwer vol. 274 (6), e1119-e1128.

DOI 10.1097/sla.0000000000003771

QMRO

14-01-2020

2019

Modelling the Impact of AI for Clinical Decision Support
Neves MR and Marsh DWR
Lecture Notes in Computer Science. vol. 11526, 292-297.

DOI 10.1007/978-3-030-21642-9_37

01-01-2019

2018

Comparing K-5 teachers’ reported use of design in teaching programming and planning in teaching writing
Waite JL, CURZON P, MARSH DW and Sentance S
WiPSCE 2018 (13th Workshop in Primary and Secondary Computing Education) Potsdam, Germany 4 Oct 2018 - 6 Oct 2018. Editors: Muhling A, Cutts Q and Schwill A.

DOI 10.1145/3265757.3265761

QMRO

04-10-2018

Generic Bayesian network models for making maintenance decisions from available data and expert knowledge
Zhang H and Marsh DWR
Proceedings of The Institution of Mechanical Engineers Part O Journal of Risk and Reliability, Sage Publications vol. 232 (5), 505-523.

DOI 10.1177/1748006x17742765

QMRO

01-10-2018

Development of a major incident triage tool: the importance of evidence from implementation studies
Marsden MER, Mossadegh S, Marsh W and Tai N
Bmj Military Health, Bmj vol. 166 (3), 204-204.

DOI 10.1136/jramc-2018-001057

QMRO

26-09-2018

Long-term, patient-centered outcomes of lower-extremity vascular trauma
Perkins ZB, Yet B, Glasgow S, Marsh DWR, Tai NRM and Rasmussen TE
Journal of Trauma and Acute Care Surgery, Wolters Kluwer vol. 85 (1S), s104-s111.

DOI 10.1097/ta.0000000000001956

01-07-2018

Towards A Model-Based Asset Deterioration Framework Represented by Probabilistic Relational Models
ZHANG H and MARSH DWR
European Safety and Reliability Conference ESREL 2018 Trondheim, Norway 17 Jun 2018 - 21 Jun 2018.

DOI 10.1201/9781351174664-83

QMRO

17-06-2018

The Heimdall framework for supporting characterisation of learning health systems
MCLACHLAN S, Potts HWW, Dube K, Buchanan D, Lean S, Gallagher T, Johnson O, DALEY B, Marsh W and FENTON N
Bcs Journal of Innovation in Health Informatics vol. 25 (2)

DOI 10.14236/jhi.v25i2.996

QMRO

15-06-2018

Abstraction in action: K-5 teachers' uses of levels of abstraction, particularly the design level, in teaching programming
Waite JL, CURZON P, MARSH D, Sentance S and Hawden-Bennett A
International Journal of Computer Science Education in Schools vol. 2 (1), 14-40. Editors: Kalelioglu F and Allsop Y.

DOI 10.21585/ijcses.v2i1.23

QMRO

31-01-2018

Towards an Evidence-Based Decision Support Tool for Management of Musculoskeletal Conditions.
Yet B, Marsh W and Morrissey D
vol. 255, 175-179.

DOI 10.3233/978-1-61499-921-8-175

01-01-2018

Learning Health Systems: The research community awareness challenge.
McLachlan S, Dube K, Buchanan D, Lean S, Johnson O, Potts H, Gallagher T, Marsh W and Fenton N
Bmj Health & Care Informatics, Bmj vol. 25 (1)

DOI 10.14236/jhi.v25i1.981

QMRO

01-01-2018

2017

K-5 Teachers' Uses of Levels of Abstraction Focusing on Design
Waite JL, curzon P, marsh D and Sentance S

QMRO

09-11-2017

Bayesian network models for making maintenance decisions from data and expert judgment
Zhang H and Marsh DWR
Risk, Reliability and Safety: Innovating Theory and Practice - Proceedings of the 26th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2016.

QMRO

01-01-2017

Predicting limb viability following lower extremity vascular trauma
Perkins ZB, Yet B, Glasgow S, Marsh W, Rasmussen TE and Tai NRM
BRITISH JOURNAL OF SURGERY. vol. 104, 7-7.
01-01-2017

2016

Improving risk management for violence in mental health services: a multimethods approach
Coid JW, Ullrich S, Kallis C, Freestone M, Gonzalez R, Bui L, Igoumenou A, Constantinou A, Fenton N, Marsh W, Yang M, DeStavola B, Hu J, Shaw J, Doyle M, Archer-Power L, Davoren M, Osumili B, McCrone P, Barrett K, et al.
Programme Grants For Applied Research vol. 4 (16), 1-408.

DOI 10.3310/pgfar04160

QMRO

01-11-2016

Abstraction and Common Classroom Activities
Waite JL, Curzon P, marsh D and Sentance S
WiPSCE 2016 11th Workshop in Primary and Secondary Computing Education Munster, Germany 13 Oct 2016 - 15 Oct 2016.

DOI 10.1145/2978249.2978272

QMRO

13-10-2016

How to model mutually exclusive events based on independent causal pathways in Bayesian network models
Fenton N, Neil M, Lagnado D, William M, Yet B and CONSTANTINOU AC
Knowledge-Based Systems

DOI 10.1016/j.knosys.2016.09.012

QMRO

17-09-2016

A Progressive Explanation of Inference in ‘Hybrid’ Bayesian Networks for Supporting Clinical Decision Making
MARSH DWR and Kyrimi E
Conference on Probabilistic Graphical Models Lugano, Switzerland 6 Sep 2016 - 9 Sep 2016. vol. 52, 275-286.

QMRO

09-09-2016

Predictive Accuracy of a Civilian Bayesian Network Trauma Tool in a Military Cohort and Applicability to Trauma Performance Improvement
Mossadegh S, Yet B, Perkins Z, Marsh W and Tai N
British Journal of Surgery vol. 103, 96-96.

QMRO

01-08-2016

Implementation science: a Bayesian prediction tool for acute traumatic coagulopathy
Mossadegh S, Kyrimi E, Marsh W and Tai N
Society of Academic and Research Surgery Annual Meeting. vol. 103, 39-39.

DOI 10.1002/bjs.10158

12-04-2016

Clinical evidence framework for Bayesian networks
Yet B, Perkins ZB, Tai NRM and Marsh DWR
Knowledge and Information Systems vol. 50 (1), 117-143.

DOI 10.1007/s10115-016-0932-1

QMRO

22-03-2016

From complex questionnaire and interviewing data to intelligent Bayesian network models for medical decision support
Constantinou AC, Fenton N, Marsh W and Radlinski L
Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, Elsevier vol. 67, 75-93.

DOI 10.1016/j.artmed.2016.01.002

QMRO

16-01-2016

Using operational data for decision making: a feasibility study in rail maintenance
Marsh W, Nur K, Yet B and Majumdar A
Safety and Reliability, Taylor & Francis vol. 36 (1), 35-47.

DOI 10.1080/09617353.2016.1148923

QMRO

02-01-2016

2015

An Efficient REDCap Based Data Collection Platform for the Primary Immune Thrombocytopenia and its Analysis Over the Conventional Approaches
Ahmed N, Shamsujjoha , Ali NY and Marsh W
2015 18th International Conference on Computer and Information Technology (ICCIT)., 353-357.

DOI 10.1109/iccitechn.2015.7488095

01-12-2015

Causal inference for violence risk management and decision support in forensic psychiatry
CONSTANTINOU AC, Freestone M, Marsh W and Coid J
Decision Support Systems vol. 80, 42-55.

DOI 10.1016/j.dss.2015.09.006

QMRO

08-10-2015

Value of information analysis for interventional and counterfactual Bayesian networks in forensic medical sciences
Constantinou AC, Yet B, Fenton N, Neil M and Marsh W
Artificial Intelligence in Medicine, Elsevier vol. 66, 41-52.

DOI 10.1016/j.artmed.2015.09.002

QMRO

08-09-2015

Risk assessment and risk management of violent re-offending among prisoners
Constantinou AC, Freestone M, Marsh W, Fenton NE and Coid J
Expert Systems With Applications vol. 42 (21)

DOI 10.1016/j.eswa.2015.05.025

QMRO

28-05-2015

Meta-analysis of prognostic factors for amputation following surgical repair of lower extremity vascular trauma
Perkins ZB, Yet B, Glasgow S, Cole E, Marsh W, Brohi K, Rasmussen TE and Tai NRM
British Journal of Surgery vol. 102 (5), 436-450.

DOI 10.1002/bjs.9689

01-04-2015

DOI 10.1002/bjs.9689

QMRO

23-02-2015

2014

Combining data and meta-analysis to build Bayesian networks for clinical decision support.
Yet B, Perkins ZB, Rasmussen TE, Tai NRM and Marsh DWR
J Biomed Inform vol. 52, 373-385.

DOI 10.1016/j.jbi.2014.07.018

QMRO

09-08-2014

Not just data: a method for improving prediction with knowledge.
Yet B, Perkins Z, Fenton N, Tai N and Marsh W
J Biomed Inform vol. 48, 28-37.

DOI 10.1016/j.jbi.2013.10.012

01-04-2014

Not just data: A method for improving prediction with knowledge
Yet B, Perkins Z, Fenton N, Tai N and Marsh W
Journal of Biomedical Informatics vol. 48, 28-37.

DOI 10.1016/j.jbi.2013.10.012

01-01-2014

Compatible and incompatible abstractions in Bayesian networks
Yet B and Marsh DWR
Knowledge-Based Systems vol. 62, 84-97.

DOI 10.1016/j.knosys.2014.02.020

01-01-2014

Prognostic Factors for Amputation Following Surgical Repair of Lower Extremity Vascular Trauma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies
Perkins ZB, Yet B, Glasgow S, Marsh W, Brohi K, Rasmussen TE and Tai NR
JOURNAL OF VASCULAR SURGERY. vol. 59 (6), 75S-75S.

DOI 10.1016/j.jvs.2014.03.167

01-01-2014

Explicit evidence for prognostic Bayesian network models.
Yet B, Perkins Z, Tai N and Marsh W
Stud Health Technol Inform vol. 205, 53-57.

DOI 10.3233/978-1-61499-432-9-53

01-01-2014

2013

Hazards, accidents and events-a land of confusing terms
Winther R and Marsh W

DOI 10.1201/b15938-380

18-09-2013

Decision Support System for Warfarin Therapy Management Using Bayesian Networks
MARSH DWR, Yet B, Bastani K, Raharjo H, Lifvergren S and Bergman B
Decision Support Systems, Elsevier vol. 55 (2), 488-498.

DOI 10.1016/j.dss.2012.10.007

01-01-2013

Change and safety: decision-making from data
Bearfield G, Holloway A and Marsh W
Proceedings of The Institution of Mechanical Engineers Part F-Journal of Rail and Rapid Transit vol. 227 (6), 704-714.

DOI 10.1177/0954409713498381

01-01-2013

EARLY PREDICTION OF TRAUMATIC COAGULOPATHY USING ADMISSION CLINICAL VARIABLES
Perkins Z, Yet B, Glasgow S, Brohi K, Marsh W and Tai NRM
SHOCK. vol. 40, 25-25.
01-01-2013

2011

Theory-based design and field-testing of an intervention to support women choosing surgery for breast cancer: BresDex
Sivell S, Marsh W, Edwards A, Manstead ASR, Clements A, Elwyn G and group OBOTB
Patient Education and Counseling, Elsevier vol. 86 (2), 179-188.

DOI 10.1016/j.pec.2011.04.014

14-05-2011

2010

Causal Modelling of Lower Consequence Rail Safety Incidents
Bearfield G and Marsh W
European Safety and Reliability Conference 2010 (ESREL 2010) Rhodes, Greece 5 Sep 2010 - 9 Sep 2010. Editors: Ale B, Papazuglo I and Zio E.

QMRO

25-08-2010

2009

Why Risk Models should be Parameterised
Marsh DWR and Bearfield GJ
MASR-2009 Modeling and Analysis of Safety and Risk in Complex Systems Saint-Petersburg, Russia 7 Jul 2009 - 11 Jul 2009.

QMRO

01-01-2009

2008

On the effectiveness of early life cycle defect prediction with Bayesian Nets
Fenton N, Neil M, Marsh W, Hearty P, Radlinski L and Krause P
Empirical Software Engineering vol. 13 (5), 499-537.

DOI 10.1007/s10664-008-9072-x

01-10-2008

Generalizing event trees using Bayesian networks
Marsh DWR and Bearfield G
Proceedings of The Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability vol. 222 (2), 105-114.

DOI 10.1243/1748006XJRR131

01-06-2008

Generalizing event trees using Bayesian networks
Marsh DWR and Bearfield G
Proc. Imeche, Parto: J. Risk and Reliability vol. 222, 105-114-105-114.
01-01-2008

2007

Predicting software defects in varying development lifecycles using Bayesian nets
Fenton N, Neil M, Marsh W, Hearty P, Marquez D, Krause P and Mishra R
Inform Software Tech vol. 49 (1), 32-43.

DOI 10.1016/j.infsof.2006.09.001

01-01-2007

Representing parameterised fault trees using Bayesian networks
Marsh W and Bearfield G
COMPUTER SAFETY, RELIABILITY, AND SECURITY, PROCEEDINGS. vol. 4680, 120-133. Editors: Saglietti F and Oster N.

DOI 10.1007/978-3-540-75101-4_13

01-01-2007

Constructing Scalable and Parameterised System Wide Risk Models
Dray P, Bearfield GJ and Marsh DWR

01-01-2007

Project Data Incorporating Qualitative Factors for Improved Software Defect Prediction
Fenton NE, Neil M, Marsh W, Hearty P, Radlinski L and Krause P
ICSE PROMISE (Predictive Models in Software Engineering) 07 Minneapolis, USA 1 Jan 1970.

DOI 10.1109/PROMISE.2007.11

01-01-2007

Merging event trees using Bayesian networks
Marsh DWR and Bearfield GJ
RISK, RELIABILITY AND SOCIETAL SAFETY, VOLS 1-3., 1489-1496. Editors: Aven T and Vinnem JE.
01-01-2007

2006

A Software Metrics Challenge: Data for Project Prediction
Neil M, Fenton N and MARSH DWR
29th International Conference on Software Engineering (ICSE 2007), Minneapolis, USA.
01-12-2006

Predicting Software Defects in Varying Development Lifecycles using Bayesian Nets
Neil M, FENTON NE, Marsh W, Mishra R and Krause P
ICSE (International Conference on Software Engineering) 2006, May 20-28, 2006, Shanghai, China.
01-01-2006

2005

Generalising event trees using Bayesian networks with a case study of train derailment
Bearfield G and Marsh W
COMPUTER SAFETY, RELIABILITY, AND SECURITY, PROCEEDINGS. vol. 3688, 52-66. Editors: Winther R, Gran BA and Dahll G.

DOI 10.1007/11563228_5

01-01-2005

2004

Making resource decisions for software projects
Fenton N, Marsh W, Neil M, Cates P, Forey S and Tailor M
ICSE 2004: 26TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SOFTWARE ENGINEERING, PROCEEDINGS., 397-406.

DOI 10.1109/icse.2004.1317462

01-01-2004

Using Bayesian networks to model accident causation in the UK railway industry
Marsh W and Bearfield G
PROBABILISTIC SAFETY ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT, VOL 1- 6., 3597-3602. Editors: Spitzer C, Schmocker U and Dang VN.

DOI 10.1007/978-0-85729-410-4_575

01-01-2004

1997

Harmonisation of defence standards for safety-critical software
Marsh W
Microprocessors and Microsystems, Elsevier vol. 21 (1), 41-47.

DOI 10.1016/s0141-9331(97)00018-5

01-07-1997

1995

Industrial Perspective on Static Analysis
WICHMANN B, CANNING A, CLUTTERBUCK D, WINSBORROW L, WARD N and MARSH D
Software Engineering Journal, Iee-Inst Elec Eng vol. 10 (2), 69-75.
01-01-1995

1992

SPARK - A SAFETY - RELATED ADA SUBSET
CARRE B, GARNSWORTHY J and MARSH W
ADA IN TRANSITION. vol. 4, 31-45. Editors: Taylor WJ.
01-01-1992

Grants

Grants of specific relevance to the Centre for Multimodal AI

Clinical evaluation of an AI risk prediction and decision support system for early management of injured patients
Karim Brohi and William Marsh
£765,888 DEPARTMENT OF THE ARMY (of the United States)
01-01-2025 - 30-06-2027

Deploying Explainable AI to Reduce Time to Treatment in Trauma
Karim Brohi, Zane Perkins and William Marsh
£94,806 Rosetrees Trust
01-10-2022 - 31-12-2025

Public Engagement Champion via cs4fn
Paul Curzon and William Marsh
£162,606 EPSRC Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
01-06-2022 - 31-05-2025

Bayesian Network Decision Support in managing low back pain: Development, exploration & feasibility
Adele Hill, Dylan Morrissey and William Marsh
£181,515 Barts and the London Charity
01-09-2021 - 31-08-2025

Exploitation of Bayesian Networks for Clinical Decision Support on the Battlefield
Karim Brohi and William Marsh
£1,000,338 DEPARTMENT OF THE ARMY (of the United States)
15-09-2019 - 14-03-2024

Knowledge Discovery from Health Use Data
William Marsh, Martin Neil and John Robson
£171,569 Alan Turing Institute, The
01-04-2019 - 31-12-2020

Teaching London Computing CPD for Digital Educators
Paul Curzon and William Marsh
£155,400 Educational Development Trust
01-01-2019 - 30-06-2021

Interdisciplinary Research Links for Medical AI: Management of Musculo-Skeletal Injury
William Marsh
£140,519 British Council
12-02-2018 - 14-02-2020

PAMBAYESIAN_FULL
Norman Fenton, William Marsh, Martin Neil, Paul Curzon, Akram Alomainy, Dylan Morrissey, Graham Hitman, Anita Patel, Frances Humby, David Collier and Victoria Tzortziou Brown
£1,531,821 EPSRC Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
01-07-2017 - 30-06-2021