Dr Nicola Perra

Reader in Applied Mathematics

School of Mathematical Sciences
Queen Mary University of London

n.perra@qmul.ac.uk

www.qmul.ac.uk/maths/profiles/perran.html

Centre for Complex Systems

Research
Publications
Grants

Research

Network Science, Data Science, Digital Epidemiology

Interests

Nicola uses and develops methods in Mathematics, Network, Data, and Computational Social Science to characterise technological systems whose dynamics are driven by human behaviour (i.e., socio-technical systems). He develops mathematical and computational models to study dynamical processes taking place on top of them. He considers a wide variety of phenomena ranging from infectious diseases and cyber threats to ideas and communication. He tackles practical problems with clear immediate applications such as the development of realistic models to capture the spreading of infectious diseases, ideas, computer viruses, behavioural changes, and teams' success. He also considers more theoretical issues such as the study of time-varying networks and the development of novel epidemic models.

Biography

In 2022, Nicola joined Queen Mary as a Reader in Applied Mathematics. Prior to this, he held the position of Associate Professor in Network Science at Greenwich University. Before that, he served as a postdoctoral research assistant at both Northeastern University and Indiana University. He earned his Ph.D. in Theoretical Physics from the University of Cagliari, Italy, in 2011.

Publications

Publications of specific relevance to the Centre for Complex Systems

2024

Real-time Estimates of the Emergence and Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 Variants of Concern: A Modeling Approach
Gozzi N, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Pastore y Piontti A, Ajelli M, Vespignani A and Perra N
Epidemics: The Journal On Infectious Disease Dynamics, Elsevier

DOI 10.1016/j.epidem.2024.100805

QMRO

03-12-2024

Bridging the digital divide: mapping Internet connectivity evolution, inequalities, and resilience in six Brazilian cities
Gozzi N, Comini N and Perra N
Epj Data Science, Springer Nature vol. 13 (1)

DOI 10.1140/epjds/s13688-024-00508-8

QMRO

08-11-2024

Generalized Contact Matrices Allow Integrating Socio-economic Variables into Epidemic Models
Manna A, D'Amico L, Tizzoni M, Karsai M and Perra N
Science Advances, American Association For The Advancement of Science

DOI 10.1126/sciadv.adk4606

QMRO

11-10-2024

Bridging the Digital Divide: Mapping Internet Connectivity Evolution, Inequalities, and Resilience in six Brazilian Cities
Gozzi N, Comini N and Perra N

DOI 10.48550/arxiv.2406.01113

QMRO

03-06-2024

A multiscale modeling framework for Scenario Modeling: Characterizing the heterogeneity of the COVID-19 epidemic in the US
Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Y Piontti AP, Mu K, Gozzi N, Ajelli M, Perra N and Vespignani A
Epidemics, Elsevier vol. 47

DOI 10.1016/j.epidem.2024.100757

QMRO

05-03-2024

Modeling teams performance using deep representational learning on graphs
Carli F, Foini P, Gozzi N, Perra N and Schifanella R
Epj Data Science, Springer Science and Business Media Llc vol. 13 (1)

DOI 10.1140/epjds/s13688-023-00442-1

QMRO

19-01-2024

2023

Epidemic Spreading in Metapopulation Networks Coupled With Awareness Propagation
Gao S, Dai X, Wang L, Perra N and Wang Z
Ieee Transactions On Cybernetics, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (Ieee) vol. 53 (12), 7686-7698.

DOI 10.1109/tcyb.2022.3198732

QMRO

29-11-2023

Behavioral Changes Associated With COVID-19 Vaccination: Cross-National Online Survey
De Gaetano A, Bajardi P, Gozzi N, Perra N, Perrotta D and Paolotti D
Journal of Medical Internet Research, Jmir Publications vol. 25

DOI 10.2196/47563

QMRO

31-10-2023

The structure of segregation in co-authorship networks and its impact on scientific production
Jaramillo AM, Williams HTP, Perra N and Menezes R
Epj Data Science, Springer Nature vol. 12 (1)

DOI 10.1140/epjds/s13688-023-00411-8

QMRO

09-10-2023

The concept of decentralization through time and disciplines: a quantitative exploration
Di Bona G, Bracci A, Perra N, Latora V and Baronchelli A
Epj Data Science, Springer Nature vol. 12 (1)

DOI 10.1140/epjds/s13688-023-00418-1

QMRO

03-10-2023

Modeling self-propagating malware with epidemiological models
Chernikova A, Gozzi N, Perra N, Boboila S, Eliassi-Rad T and Oprea A
Applied Network Science, Springer Nature vol. 8 (1)

DOI 10.1007/s41109-023-00578-z

QMRO

18-08-2023

Estimating the impact of COVID-19 vaccine inequities: a modeling study
Gozzi N, Chinazzi M, Dean NE, Longini IMJ, Halloran ME, Perra N and Vespignani A
Nature Communications, Nature Research

DOI 10.1038/s41467-023-39098-w

QMRO

06-06-2023

The adoption of non-pharmaceutical interventions and the role of digital infrastructure during the COVID-19 pandemic in Colombia, Ecuador, and El Salvador
Gozzi N, Comini N and Perra N
Epj Data Science, Springer Science and Business Media Llc vol. 12 (1)

DOI 10.1140/epjds/s13688-023-00395-5

QMRO

06-06-2023

The Effects of Local and Global Link Creation Mechanisms on Contagion Processes Unfolding on Time-Varying Networks
Sun K, Ubaldi E, Zhang J, Karsai M and Perra N
In Temporal Network Theory, Springer Nature 313-333.

DOI 10.1007/978-3-031-30399-9_16

01-01-2023

2022

Estimating the impact of COVID-19 vaccine allocation inequities: a modeling study
Gozzi N, Chinazzi M, Dean NE, Longini IM, Halloran ME, Perra N and Vespignani A
, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory vol. 3 (11-22)

DOI 10.1101/2022.11.18.22282514

QMRO

18-11-2022

Macroscopic properties of buyer-seller networks in online marketplaces
Bracci A, Boehnke J, ElBahrawy A, Perra N, Teytelboym A and Baronchelli A
Pnas Nexus, Oxford University Press

DOI 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgac201

QMRO

06-10-2022

Anatomy of the first six months of COVID-19 vaccination campaign in Italy
Gozzi N, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Pastore y Piontti A, Ajelli M, Perra N and Vespignani A
Plos Computational Biology, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 18 (5)

DOI 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010146

QMRO

25-05-2022

Addressing the socioeconomic divide in computational modeling for infectious diseases
Perra N, Tizzoni M, Nsoesie E, Gauvin L, Karsai M and Bansal S
Nature Communications, Nature Research

DOI 10.1038/s41467-022-30688-8

QMRO

24-05-2022

The adoption of non-pharmaceutical interventions and the role of digital infrastructure during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Colombia, Ecuador, and El Salvador
Gozzi N, Comini N and Perra N

DOI 10.48550/arxiv.2202.12088

QMRO

24-02-2022

Cyber Network Resilience Against Self-Propagating Malware Attacks
Chernikova A, Gozzi N, Boboila S, Angadi P, Loughner J, Wilden M, Perra N, Eliassi-Rad T and Oprea A
In Computer Security – Esorics 2022, Springer Nature 531-550.

DOI 10.1007/978-3-031-17140-6_26

01-01-2022

2021

Infodemics: A new challenge for public health
Briand SC, Cinelli M, Nguyen T, Lewis R, Prybylski D, Valensise CM, Colizza V, Tozzi AE, Perra N, Baronchelli A, Tizzoni M, Zollo F, Scala A, Purnat T, Czerniak C, Kucharski AJ, Tshangela A, Zhou L and Quattrociocchi W
Cell, Elsevier vol. 184 (25), 6010-6014.

DOI 10.1016/j.cell.2021.10.031

QMRO

01-12-2021

Cryptic transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the first COVID-19 wave
Davis JT, Chinazzi M, Perra N, Mu K, Pastore y Piontti A, Ajelli M, Dean NE, Gioannini C, Litvinova M, Merler S, Rossi L, Sun K, Xiong X, Longini IM, Halloran ME, Viboud C and Vespignani A
Nature, Springer Nature vol. 600 (7887), 127-132.

DOI 10.1038/s41586-021-04130-w

QMRO

25-10-2021

Ethical implications of network data in business and management settings
Cronin B, Perra N, Rocha LEC, Zhu Z, Pallotti F, Gorgoni S, Conaldi G and De Vita R
Social Networks, Elsevier vol. 67, 29-40.

DOI 10.1016/j.socnet.2020.09.001

QMRO

01-10-2021

The importance of non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 vaccine rollout
Gozzi N, Bajardi P and Perra N
Plos Computational Biology, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 17 (9)

DOI 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009346

QMRO

10-09-2021

Self-initiated behavioral change and disease resurgence on activity-driven networks
Gozzi N, Scudeler M, Paolotti D, Baronchelli A and Perra N
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 104 (1)

DOI 10.1103/physreve.104.014307

QMRO

01-07-2021

Estimating the effect of social inequalities on the mitigation of COVID-19 across communities in Santiago de Chile
Gozzi N, Tizzoni M, Chinazzi M, Ferres L, Vespignani A and Perra N
Nature Communications, Springer Nature vol. 12 (1)

DOI 10.1038/s41467-021-22601-6

QMRO

23-04-2021

Cryptic transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the first COVID-19 wave in Europe and the United States
Davis JT, Chinazzi M, Perra N, Mu K, Pastore y Piontti A, Ajelli M, Dean NE, Gioannini C, Litvinova M, Merler S, Rossi L, Sun K, Xiong X, Halloran ME, Longini IM, Viboud C and Vespignani A
, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory vol. 2 (03-31)

DOI 10.1101/2021.03.24.21254199

QMRO

26-03-2021

Non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic: A review
Perra N
Physics Reports, Elsevier vol. 913, 1-52.

DOI 10.1016/j.physrep.2021.02.001

QMRO

13-02-2021

2020

Collective Response to Media Coverage of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Reddit and Wikipedia: Mixed-Methods Analysis
Gozzi N, Tizzani M, Starnini M, Ciulla F, Paolotti D, Panisson A and Perra N
Journal of Medical Internet Research, Jmir Publications vol. 22 (10)

DOI 10.2196/21597

12-10-2020

Estimating the establishment of local transmission and the cryptic phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA
Davis JT, Chinazzi M, Perra N, Mu K, Pastore y Piontti A, Ajelli M, Dean NE, Gioannini C, Litvinova M, Merler S, Rossi L, Sun K, Xiong X, Halloran ME, Longini IM, Viboud C and Vespignani A
, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory vol. 1 (07-14)

DOI 10.1101/2020.07.06.20140285

07-07-2020

Towards a data-driven characterization of behavioral changes induced by the seasonal flu
Gozzi N, Perrotta D, Paolotti D and Perra N
Plos Computational Biology, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 16 (5)

DOI 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007879

13-05-2020

Phase transitions in information spreading on structured populations
Davis JT, Perra N, Zhang Q, Moreno Y and Vespignani A
Nature Physics, Springer Nature vol. 16 (5), 590-596.

DOI 10.1038/s41567-020-0810-3

02-03-2020

2019

Explore with caution: mapping the evolution of scientific interest in physics
Aleta A, Meloni S, Perra N and Moreno Y
Epj Data Science, Springer Nature vol. 8 (1)

DOI 10.1140/epjds/s13688-019-0205-9

11-09-2019

Modelling opinion dynamics in the age of algorithmic personalisation
Perra N and Rocha LEC
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 9 (1)

DOI 10.1038/s41598-019-43830-2

13-05-2019

Spreading of computer viruses on time-varying networks
Brett T, Loukas G, Moreno Y and Perra N
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 99 (5)

DOI 10.1103/physreve.99.050303

01-05-2019

DOI 10.1007/978-3-030-23495-9_16

01-01-2019

Charting the Next Pandemic, Modeling Infectious Disease Spreading in the Data Science Age
Pastore y Piontti A, Perra N, Rossi L, Samay N and Vespignani A

DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-93290-3

01-01-2019

2018

Epidemic spreading on time-varying multiplex networks
Liu Q-H, Xiong X, Zhang Q and Perra N
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 98 (6)

DOI 10.1103/physreve.98.062303

01-12-2018

Epidemic spreading in modular time-varying networks
Nadini M, Sun K, Ubaldi E, Starnini M, Rizzo A and Perra N
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 8 (1)

DOI 10.1038/s41598-018-20908-x

05-02-2018

Resilience management during large-scale epidemic outbreaks
Massaro E, Ganin A, Perra N, Linkov I and Vespignani A
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 8 (1)

DOI 10.1038/s41598-018-19706-2

30-01-2018

Attention on Weak Ties in Social and Communication Networks
Weng L, Karsai M, Perra N, Menczer F and Flammini A
In Complex Spreading Phenomena in Social Systems, Springer Nature 213-228.

DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-77332-2_12

01-01-2018

2017

Combining Participatory Influenza Surveillance with Modeling and Forecasting: Three Alternative Approaches
Brownstein JS, Chu S, Marathe A, Marathe MV, Nguyen AT, Paolotti D, Perra N, Perrotta D, Santillana M, Swarup S, Tizzoni M, Vespignani A, Vullikanti AKS, Wilson ML and Zhang Q
Jmir Public Health and Surveillance, Jmir Publications vol. 3 (4)

DOI 10.2196/publichealth.7344

01-11-2017

Epidemic spreading on activity-driven networks with attractiveness
Pozzana I, Sun K and Perra N
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 96 (4)

DOI 10.1103/physreve.96.042310

01-10-2017

Random walks on activity-driven networks with attractiveness
Alessandretti L, Sun K, Baronchelli A and Perra N
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 95 (5)

DOI 10.1103/physreve.95.052318

01-05-2017

Burstiness and tie activation strategies in time-varying social networks
Ubaldi E, Vezzani A, Karsai M, Perra N and Burioni R
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 7 (1)

DOI 10.1038/srep46225

13-04-2017

Forecasting Seasonal Influenza Fusing Digital Indicators and a Mechanistic Disease Model
Zhang Q, Perra N, Perrotta D, Tizzoni M, Paolotti D and Vespignani A
Proceedings of the 26th International Conference on World Wide Web., 311-319.

DOI 10.1145/3038912.3052678

03-04-2017

Control Strategies of Contagion Processes in Time-Varying Networks
Karsai M and Perra N
In Temporal Network Epidemiology, Springer Nature 179-197.

DOI 10.1007/978-981-10-5287-3_8

01-01-2017

2016

Statistical physics of vaccination
Wang Z, Bauch CT, Bhattacharyya S, d’Onofrio A, Manfredi P, Perc M, Perra N, Salathé M and Zhao D
Physics Reports, Elsevier vol. 664, 1-113.

DOI 10.1016/j.physrep.2016.10.006

01-12-2016

Asymptotic theory of time-varying social networks with heterogeneous activity and tie allocation
Ubaldi E, Perra N, Karsai M, Vezzani A, Burioni R and Vespignani A
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 6 (1)

DOI 10.1038/srep35724

24-10-2016

The spreading of infectious diseases in modern socio-technical systems Comment on “Pattern transitions in spatial epidemics: Mechanisms and emergent properties” by Gui-Quan Sun et al.
Perra N
Physics of Life Reviews, Elsevier vol. 19, 87-89.

DOI 10.1016/j.plrev.2016.09.009

19-09-2016

Results from the centers for disease control and prevention’s predict the 2013–2014 Influenza Season Challenge
Biggerstaff M, Alper D, Dredze M, Fox S, Fung IC-H, Hickmann KS, Lewis B, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J, Tsou M-H, Velardi P, Vespignani A, Finelli L and for the Influenza Forecasting Contest Working Group
Bmc Infectious Diseases, Springer Nature vol. 16 (1)

DOI 10.1186/s12879-016-1669-x

22-07-2016

The dynamics of information-driven coordination phenomena: A transfer entropy analysis
Borge-Holthoefer J, Perra N, Gonçalves B, González-Bailón S, Arenas A, Moreno Y and Vespignani A
Science Advances, American Association For The Advancement of Science (Aaas) vol. 2 (4)

DOI 10.1126/sciadv.1501158

01-04-2016

2015

Contrasting effects of strong ties on SIR and SIS processes in temporal networks
Sun K, Baronchelli A and Perra N
The European Physical Journal B, Springer Nature vol. 88 (12)

DOI 10.1140/epjb/e2015-60568-4

01-12-2015

Reports of the 2015 Workshops Held at the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media
Garcia D, Halegoua G, Mejova Y, Perra N, Pfeffer J, Ruths D, Weber I, West R and Zia L
AI Magazine. vol. 36 (4), 119-123.

DOI 10.1609/aimag.v36i4.2619

01-12-2015

The Scaling of Human Contacts and Epidemic Processes in Metapopulation Networks
Tizzoni M, Sun K, Benusiglio D, Karsai M and Perra N
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 5 (1)

DOI 10.1038/srep15111

19-10-2015

Committed activists and the reshaping of status-quo social consensus
Mistry D, Zhang Q, Perra N and Baronchelli A
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 92 (4)

DOI 10.1103/physreve.92.042805

01-10-2015

VoroGraph
Dunne C, Muller M, Perra N and Martino M
Proceedings of the 33rd Annual ACM Conference Extended Abstracts on Human Factors in Computing Systems., 255-258.

DOI 10.1145/2702613.2725459

18-04-2015

Social Data Mining and Seasonal Influenza Forecasts: The FluOutlook Platform
Zhang Q, Gioannini C, Paolotti D, Perra N, Perrotta D, Quaggiotto M, Tizzoni M and Vespignani A
Lecture Notes in Computer Science. vol. 9286, 237-240.

DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-23461-8_21

01-01-2015

Social phenomena: From data analysis to models
Gonçalves B and Perra N

DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-14011-7

01-01-2015

Preface
Gonçalves B, Karsai M and Perra N
AAAI Workshop - Technical Report. vol. WS-15-17
01-01-2015

Modeling and Predicting Human Infectious Diseases
Perra N and Gonçalves B
In Social Phenomena, Springer Nature 59-83.

DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-14011-7_4

01-01-2015

Introduction
Gonçalves B and Perra N
In Social Phenomena: From Data Analysis to Models 1-12.

DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-14011-7_1

01-01-2015

2014

The role of endogenous and exogenous mechanisms in the formation of R&D networks
Tomasello MV, Perra N, Tessone CJ, Karsai M and Schweitzer F
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 4 (1)

DOI 10.1038/srep05679

14-07-2014

Damage detection via shortest-path network sampling
Ciulla F, Perra N, Baronchelli A and Vespignani A
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 89 (5)

DOI 10.1103/physreve.89.052816

01-05-2014

The infection tree of global epidemics
PIONTTI APY, DA COSTA GOMES MF, SAMAY N, PERRA N and VESPIGNANI A
Network Science, Cambridge University Press (Cup) vol. 2 (1), 132-137.

DOI 10.1017/nws.2014.5

01-04-2014

Controlling Contagion Processes in Activity Driven Networks
Liu S, Perra N, Karsai M and Vespignani A
Physical Review Letters, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 112 (11)

DOI 10.1103/physrevlett.112.118702

19-03-2014

Time varying networks and the weakness of strong ties
Karsai M, Perra N and Vespignani A
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 4 (1)

DOI 10.1038/srep04001

10-02-2014

2013

Quantifying the effect of temporal resolution on time-varying networks
Ribeiro B, Perra N and Baronchelli A
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 3 (1)

DOI 10.1038/srep03006

21-10-2013

Social Networks, Contagion Processes and the Spreading of Infectious Diseases
Gonçalves B, Perra N and Vespignani A
In Handbook of Systems Biology 515-527.

DOI 10.1016/B978-0-12-385944-0.00027-7

29-08-2013

The role of information diffusion in the evolution of social networks
Weng L, Ratkiewicz J, Perra N, Gonçalves B, Castillo C, Bonchi F, Schifanella R, Menczer F and Flammini A
Proceedings of the 19th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge discovery and data mining., 356-364.

DOI 10.1145/2487575.2487607

11-08-2013

Contagion dynamics in time-varying metapopulation networks
Liu S-Y, Baronchelli A and Perra N
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 87 (3)

DOI 10.1103/physreve.87.032805

01-03-2013

The Twitter of Babel: Mapping World Languages through Microblogging Platforms
Mocanu D, Baronchelli A, Perra N, Gonçalves B, Zhang Q and Vespignani A
Plos One, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 8 (4)

DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0061981

01-01-2013

Characterizing scientific production and consumption in Physics
Zhang Q, Perra N, Gonçalves B, Ciulla F and Vespignani A
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 3 (1)

DOI 10.1038/srep01640

01-01-2013

Chapter 27 Social Networks, Contagion Processes and the Spreading of Infectious Diseases
Gonçalves B, Perra N and Vespignani A
In Handbook of Systems Biology, Elsevier 515-527.

DOI 10.1016/b978-0-12-385944-0.00027-7

01-01-2013

2012

Random Walks and Search in Time-Varying Networks
Perra N, Baronchelli A, Mocanu D, Gonçalves B, Pastor-Satorras R and Vespignani A
Physical Review Letters, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 109 (23)

DOI 10.1103/physrevlett.109.238701

04-12-2012

Real-time numerical forecast of global epidemic spreading: case study of 2009 A/H1N1pdm
Tizzoni M, Bajardi P, Poletto C, Ramasco JJ, Balcan D, Gonçalves B, Perra N, Colizza V and Vespignani A
Bmc Medicine, Springer Nature vol. 10 (1)

DOI 10.1186/1741-7015-10-165

01-12-2012

Modeling Contact and Mobility Based Social Response to the Spreading of Infectious Diseases
Perra N and Vespignani A
In Modeling The Interplay Between Human Behavior and The Spread of Infectious Diseases, Springer Nature 103-123.

DOI 10.1007/978-1-4614-5474-8_7

28-11-2012

Beating the news using social media: the case study of American Idol
Ciulla F, Mocanu D, Baronchelli A, Gonçalves B, Perra N and Vespignani A
Epj Data Science, Springer Nature vol. 1 (1)

DOI 10.1140/epjds8

31-07-2012

Activity driven modeling of time varying networks
Perra N, Gonçalves B, Pastor-Satorras R and Vespignani A
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 2 (1)

DOI 10.1038/srep00469

01-01-2012

2011

Modeling human mobility responses to the large-scale spreading of infectious diseases
Meloni S, Perra N, Arenas A, Gómez S, Moreno Y and Vespignani A
Scientific Reports, Springer Nature vol. 1 (1)

DOI 10.1038/srep00062

01-01-2011

Towards a Characterization of Behavior-Disease Models
Perra N, Balcan D, Gonçalves B and Vespignani A
Plos One, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 6 (8)

DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0023084

01-01-2011

Modeling Users' Activity on Twitter Networks: Validation of Dunbar's Number
Gonçalves B, Perra N and Vespignani A
Plos One, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 6 (8)

DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0022656

01-01-2011

2009

Modeling the critical care demand and antibiotics resources needed during the Fall 2009 wave of influenza A(H1N1) pandemic
Balcan D, Colizza V, Singer AC, Chouaid C, Hu H, Gonçalves B, Bajardi P, Poletto C, Ramasco JJ, Perra N, Tizzoni M, Paolotti D, Van den Broeck W, Valleron A and Vespignani A
Plos Currents, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 1 (Influenza)

DOI 10.1371/currents.rrn1133

07-12-2009

Estimate of Novel Influenza A/H1N1 cases in Mexico at the early stage of the pandemic with a spatially structured epidemic model
Colizza V, Vespignani A, Perra N, Poletto C, Gonçalves B, Hu H, Balcan D, Paolotti D, Van den Broeck W, Tizzoni M, Bajardi P and Ramasco JJ
Plos Currents, Public Library of Science (Plos) vol. 1 (Influenza)

DOI 10.1371/currents.rrn1129

11-11-2009

PageRank equation and localization in the WWW
Perra N, Zlatić V, Chessa A, Conti C, Donato D and Caldarelli G
Epl (Europhysics Letters), Iop Publishing vol. 88 (4)

DOI 10.1209/0295-5075/88/48002

01-11-2009

Seasonal transmission potential and activity peaks of the new influenza A(H1N1): a Monte Carlo likelihood analysis based on human mobility
Balcan D, Hu H, Goncalves B, Bajardi P, Poletto C, Ramasco JJ, Paolotti D, Perra N, Tizzoni M, Van den Broeck W, Colizza V and Vespignani A
Bmc Medicine, Springer Nature vol. 7 (1)

DOI 10.1186/1741-7015-7-45

10-09-2009

Modeling vaccination campaigns and the Fall/Winter 2009 activity of the new A(H1N1) influenza in the Northern Hemisphere
Bajardi P, Poletto C, Balcan D, Hu H, Goncalves B, Ramasco JJ, Paolotti D, Perra N, Tizzoni M, Van den Broeck W, Colizza V and Vespignani A
Emerging Health Threats Journal, Taylor & Francis vol. 2 (1)

DOI 10.3402/ehtj.v2i0.7093

11-04-2009

2008

Spectral centrality measures in complex networks
Perra N and Fortunato S
Physical Review E, American Physical Society (Aps) vol. 78 (3)

DOI 10.1103/physreve.78.036107

01-09-2008

Modeling vaccination campaigns and the Fall/Winter 2009 activity of the new A(H1N1) influenza in the Northern Hemisphere
Bajardi P, Poletto C, Balcan D, Hu H, Goncalves B, Ramasco J, Paolotti D, Perra N, Tizzoni M, Van den Broeck W, Colizza V and Vespignani A
Emerging Health Threats Journal, Taylor & Francis vol. 2

DOI 10.3134/ehtj.09.011

01-01-2008

Grants

Grants of specific relevance to the Centre for Complex Systems

Nicola Perra - US Army Lab research
Nicola Perra
£71,665 U.S. Army Combat Capabilities Development Command Army Research Laboratory
24-06-2024 - 23-06-2025